Capixaba SC vs Noroeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
317
Shots on target
08
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
317
Shots on target
08
Shots off target
39
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Feijao , Max ,
  • 62', Simao M. , Gabriel Lisboa ,
  • 62', Guilherme Brito , Italo ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, David Lima ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 68', Carlos , Kaynan L. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, David Lima ,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 77', Erlon , Felipe Affonso ,
  • 77', Marcelinho , Ribeiro S. ,

Chances of winning


Capixaba SC
32.4%
Draw
31.6%
Noroeste
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 28.2% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 26.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Capixaba SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capixaba SC than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Capixaba SC - Noroeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.97)
    2.89
    (3.25)
    2.53
    (2.23)
    9.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capixaba won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Capixaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Noroeste could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Capixaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Capixaba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Capixaba SC - Noroeste were as follows:
    14.07.2025 Noroeste - Capixaba SC 3:1
    07.06.2025 Noroeste - Capixaba SC 0:1
    08.02.2025 Capixaba SC - Noroeste 0:2
    07.08.2024 Capixaba SC - Noroeste 1:3
    17.07.2024 Noroeste - Capixaba SC 4:1
    Latest results of Capixaba SC
    Latest results of Noroeste
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2