Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup Nottingham Forest - Manchester City
Result
0:2
27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.37
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (245/303)90% (568/634)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.40
Total shots
814
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1536
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (245/303)90% (568/634)
Long passes
34% (17/50)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
61% (45/74)81% (132/163)
Crosses
31% (5/16)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.10
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
108
Tackles
52% (12/23)14% (1/7)
Duels won
4333
Clearances
3122
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.400.44
Goals prevented
0.400.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lewis R. , Kovacic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Danilo , Elanga A. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Gvardiol J. , Marmoush O. (A),
  • 55', Grealish J. 🟨,
  • 65', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 71', Wood Ch. , Awoniyi T. ,
  • 71', Anderson E. , Sangare I. ,
  • 71', Grealish J. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 78', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
  • 81', Savinho , Foden P. ,
  • 81', Marmoush O. , Doku J. ,
  • 82', Dominguez N. , Jota Silva ,
  • 83', Abbott Z. , Sosa R. ,
  • 87', Ortega S. 🟨,
  • 89', Kovacic M. , Nico ,
  • 90+3', Sosa R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
19.5%
Draw
24.6%
Manchester City
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 24.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 24.5% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Nottingham Forest - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (4.61)
    3.89
    (3.87)
    1.72
    (1.76)
    4.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Man City will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Man City (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1.
    • Recent matches Nottingham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Man City in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Man City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Ederson (Groin Injury) Haaland E. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:14 (average 0.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Manchester City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:0
    04.12.2024 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    28.04.2024 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2
    23.09.2023 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 2:0
    18.02.2023 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    2ByeChester
    3Curzon AshtonBye
    4Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    5AFC FyldeBye
    6WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    7SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    8ByeDarlington
    9Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    10West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    11HallamAshton Utd0 : 2, 2 : 2
    12ByeScarborough
    13West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    14ByeSpennymoor
    15Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    16Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    17MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    18WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    19RadcliffeBye
    20ByeSouthport
    21MacclesfieldBye
    22Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    23AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    24TraffordStockton2 : 1
    25KendalDunston0 : 1
    26Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    27CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    28RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    29South ShieldsBye
    30Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    31WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    32ByeChorley
    33Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    34ByeMarine
    35BuxtonBye
    36RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    37HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    38LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    39MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    40Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    41CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    42KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    43WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    44MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    45Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    46ByeEnfield Town
    47QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    48Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    49Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    50EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    51HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    52WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    53BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    54NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    55Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    56Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    57HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    58March TownGorleston1 : 3
    59Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    60StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    61HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    62ByeWorksop
    63Peterborough SportsBye
    64ByeHornchurch
    65AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    66ByeLeamington
    67ChelmsfordBye
    68Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    69IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    70ByeAlfreton
    71BedfordBye
    72ByeDag & Red
    73ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    74HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    75BillericayBarton4 : 1
    76BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    77RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    78BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81AFC TelfordBye
    82ByeKidderminster
    83KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    84EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    85Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    86HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    87SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    88AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    89Hemel HempsteadBye
    90Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    91Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    92ByeHereford
    93Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    94Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    95BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    96StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    97Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    98ByeBath
    99Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    100ByeWorthing
    101WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    102Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    103Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    104SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    105EbbsfleetBye
    106Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    107MaidenheadBye
    108FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    109Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    110Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    111HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    112TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    113ChertseyThame2 : 1
    114RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    115Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    116ByeTonbridge
    117Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    118Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    119UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    120ByeSlough
    121Merthyr TownBye
    122Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    123Hampton & RichmondBye
    124SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    125DorkingBye
    126CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    127Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    128FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    129DealCobham2 : 0
    130BeckenhamEgham2 : 3
    131FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    132ByeMaidstone
    133Eastbourne BoroBye
    134EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    135WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    136ByeHorsham FC
    137WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    138FairfordSholing0 : 2
    139TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    140ByeWeston-super-Mare
    141Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    142ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    143FarnboroughBye
    144ByeDover
    145GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    146ByeChippenham
    147SalisburyBye
    148Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    149GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    150DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    151AFC TottonBye
    152ByeTorquay
    153BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    154TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    155Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk2 : 3, 1 : 1
    156Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    157Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    158ByeOxford City
    159Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town2 : 0, 1 : 1
    160Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1StalybridgeChester1 : 2
    2Curzon AshtonHebburn Town4 : 1
    3AFC FyldeBamber Bridge4 : 1
    4BootleDarlington1 : 3
    5Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets0 : 2
    6Ashton UtdScarborough2 : 0
    7West AucklandSpennymoor0 : 1
    8FC UnitedChadderton0 : 1
    9MorpethWitton2 : 1
    10RadcliffeSouthport1 : 1
    11MacclesfieldAtherton R.3 : 0
    12NantwichTrafford3 : 1
    13DunstonStocksbridge1 : 0
    14GainsboroughRushall2 : 1
    15South ShieldsGuiseley2 : 1
    16CongletonChorley0 : 1
    17Newcastle Blue StarMarine0 : 2
    18BuxtonRedditch3 : 0
    19HydeWhitby2 : 0
    20MatlockCarlton Town3 : 0
    21LeistonHackney Wick4 : 1
    22ChasetownBanbury0 : 0
    23Enfield FCEnfield Town0 : 3
    24QuornKettering2 : 1
    25Needham MarketEynesbury4 : 2
    26Mulbarton WanderersWitham0 : 0
    27Bury TownWoodford Town1 : 1
    28HitchinSt. Albans1 : 2
    29Waltham AbbeyGorleston2 : 0
    30Maldon & TiptreeStanway2 : 0
    31HarboroughWorksop3 : 2
    32Peterborough SportsHornchurch2 : 1
    33AlvechurchLeamington3 : 0
    34ChelmsfordHertford6 : 0
    35Spalding UnitedAlfreton3 : 0
    36BedfordDag & Red1 : 1
    37ColeshillHednesford0 : 7
    38BillericayBerkhamsted3 : 0
    39RoystonBrentwood1 : 0
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn1 : 4
    41AFC TelfordKidderminster3 : 1
    42Racing Club WarwickEvesham3 : 3
    43Grimsby BoroughHalesowen1 : 1
    44SudburyAveley1 : 2
    45Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford4 : 1
    46Sporting KhalsaHereford1 : 2
    47Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge3 : 1
    48ShepshedStamford0 : 2
    49WimborneBath2 : 1
    50Jersey BullsWorthing2 : 2
    51Burgess HillFarnham1 : 3
    52BrixhamDorchester1 : 3
    53EbbsfleetAshford Town5 : 0
    54MaidenheadFaversham0 : 1
    55Whitstable TownChichester1 : 1
    56HungerfordSwindon S3 : 0
    57ChertseyCray Valley2 : 3
    58Steyning TownTonbridge2 : 2
    59Hanwell TownBedfont Sports0 : 1
    60WellingSlough1 : 1
    61Merthyr TownTorpoint4 : 0
    62Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.4 : 2
    63DorkingWingate & Finchley7 : 2
    64Tower HamletsFlackwell0 : 2
    65DealEgham2 : 1
    66FolkestoneMaidstone2 : 0
    67Eastbourne BoroEpsom4 : 0
    68WestfieldHorsham FC2 : 2
    69FarehamSholing0 : 3
    70TauntonWeston-super-Mare1 : 1
    71Ashford U.Chatham0 : 3
    72FarnboroughDover4 : 1
    73GloucesterChippenham1 : 2
    74SalisburyLaverstock & Ford4 : 1
    75GosportPoole0 : 3
    76AFC TottonTorquay2 : 0
    77BracknellTadley2 : 0
    78WhitehawkWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    79Westbury UnitedOxford City3 : 2
    80Shaftesbury TownFrome1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChesterCurzon Ashton
    2AFC FyldeDarlington
    3Runcorn LinnetsAshton Utd
    4SpennymoorChadderton
    5MorpethRadcliffe
    6MacclesfieldNantwich
    7DunstonGainsborough
    8South ShieldsChorley
    9MarineBuxton
    10HydeMatlock
    11LeistonChasetown
    12Enfield TownQuorn
    13Needham MarketMulbarton Wanderers
    14Bury TownSt. Albans
    15Waltham AbbeyMaldon & Tiptree
    16HarboroughPeterborough Sports
    17AlvechurchChelmsford
    18Spalding UnitedBedford
    19HednesfordBillericay
    20RoystonKingu2019s Lynn
    21AFC TelfordEvesham
    22Grimsby BoroughAveley
    23Hemel HempsteadHereford
    24Sutton ColdfieldStamford
    25WimborneWorthing
    26FarnhamDorchester
    27EbbsfleetFaversham
    28Whitstable TownHungerford
    29Cray ValleyTonbridge
    30Bedfont SportsSlough
    31Merthyr TownHampton & Richmond
    32TBD #63TBD #64
    33TBD #65TBD #66
    34TBD #67TBD #68
    35TBD #69TBD #70
    36TBD #71TBD #72
    37TBD #73TBD #74
    38TBD #75TBD #76
    39TBD #77TBD #78
    40TBD #79TBD #80