Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Swett R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | ion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (214/318) | 72% (234/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (214/318) | 72% (234/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 59% (58/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Thomsen J. ⚽, Monaghan P. (A),
- 13', Solorzano A. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 2, Solorzano A. ⚽,
- 25', Pickett K. 🟨,
- 39', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 44', Hill R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Tejada Jimenez A. ↓, Nagai A. ↑,
- 54', Solorzano A. ↓, Prasnikar L. ↑,
- 66', Hill R. ↓, Hocking P. ↑,
- 66', Pickett K. ↓, Bebar H. ↑,
- 66', Lema K. ↓, Boade T. ↑,
- 75', Monaghan P. ↓, St.Georges B. ↑,
- 78', Kundananji R. 🟨,
- 82', Justus M. 🟨,
- 83', Pogarch M. ↓, Dorsey I. ↑,
- 83', Lacasse C. ↓, Mozingo B. ↑,
- 88', Bailey D. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bay FC
43.9% | Draw
24.8% | Utah Royals
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bay FC's performance.Utah Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utah Royals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bay FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utah Royals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bay FC - Utah Royals Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.47) |
3.72 ↑
(3.54) |
2.96 ↑
(2.48) |
8.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 13).
- Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Utah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against Utah Royals?
Bay FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utah Royals won against Bay FC?
Utah Royals has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bay FC - Utah Royals were as follows:
15.03.2025
Utah Royals
-
Bay FC
1:1
23.08.2024
Utah Royals
-
Bay FC
2:1
16.06.2024
Bay FC
-
Utah Royals
0:1
Latest results of Utah Royals
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Orlando Pride W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
