Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (402/460) | 70% (137/197) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.09 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.36 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (402/460) | 70% (137/197) |
| Long passes |
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| 51% (20/39) | 30% (14/46) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 82% (129/158) | 59% (41/70) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (4/32) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.89 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 60% (3/5) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
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| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.81 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.81 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Torres D. 🟨,
- 7', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Iury Castilho ⚽, Dellatorre (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Gabriel Domingos ↑,
- 46', William Barbio ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez K. ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Luan Silva ⚽,
- 57', Iury Castilho ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 57', Gomez S. ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 62', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
- 62', Josue 🟨,
- 63', Fabiano 🟨,
- 65', Torres J. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 65', Josue ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 66', Wallisson ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
- 81', Dellatorre ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 82', Kiko 🟨,
- 83', Luan Silva 🟨,
- 84', Torres D. ↓, Dener ↑,
- 85', Vasquez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amazonas 25.6% | Draw 30% | Coritiba 44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Amazonas - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.71 ↑ (3.37) |
3.13 ↑ (2.96) |
2.1 ↓ (2.29) |
6.7% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Amazonas is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- Coritiba is Qualified for Serie A Betano
- Amazonas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Coritiba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Coritiba?
Amazonas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Amazonas?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Coritiba were as follows:
27.07.2025
Coritiba
-
Amazonas
1:1
13.10.2024
Coritiba
-
Amazonas
3:1
25.06.2024
Amazonas
-
Coritiba
1:0
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 53:43 | 10 | 65 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 52:35 | 17 | 62 |
| 4 | Remo | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 51:39 | 12 | 62 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:33 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 61 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 60 |
| 8 | CRB | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 45:40 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Avai | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50:40 | 10 | 56 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:44 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 47 |
| 14 | America MG | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:53 | -10 | 44 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | -20 | 42 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 36:52 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )