Atmosfera Mažeikiai vs Babrungas Plungė – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Agyemang E. ,
  • 40', Oh Se-Sim 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Gritkus E. , Najulis K. ,
  • 58', Stasys M. , Andriejauskas A. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Kazbaras M. ,

Chances of winning


Atmosfera Mažeikiai
27%
Draw
25.3%
Babrungas Plungė
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 24.9% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 23.7% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atmosfera Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.
  • Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Babrungas Plungė's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atmosfera Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (2.66)
    3.59
    (3.66)
    1.91
    (2.23)
    10.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 4).
    • Atmosfera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Babrungas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Babrungas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.4:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai 0:0
    21.06.2024 Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė 0:2
    Latest results of Babrungas Plungė
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest15140148:113742
    2Neptunas16122238:142438
    3Tauras Taurage16105130:92135
    4Babrungas1694332:25731
    5BFA Vilnius1592425:16929
    6Zalgiris 21584333:221128
    7Hegelmann Litauen 21654719:26-719
    8Atmosfera1653820:21-118
    9FK Minija1652912:25-1317
    10Nevezis Kedainiai1652920:28-817
    11Jonava1545610:11-117
    12Kauno Zalgiris 216421020:31-1114
    13FK Panevezys 216411119:45-2613
    14BE1 NFA1534814:25-1113
    15Ekranas15321013:28-1511
    16Siauliai 216321122:38-1611

          Promotion ~ A Lyga
          Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )
          I Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation