Result
1:3
17/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 2, Abdurahmanov Z. ⚽,
- 55', 🟥,
- 63', Qurbanly N. 🟥,
- 65', 1 - 2, Shabanov R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Faracov S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zagatala 47.3% | Draw 26% | MOIK Baku 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Zagatala - MOIK Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.88) |
3.46 ↑ (3.4) |
3.38 ↓ (3.59) |
11% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagatala - MOIK Baku?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagatala (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Zagatala (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagatala (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 2.
- Zagatala is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- MOIK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zagatala might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagatala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagatala won against MOIK Baku?
Zagatala has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MOIK Baku won against Zagatala?
MOIK Baku has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagatala - MOIK Baku were as follows:
25.09.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Zagatala
0:1
02.05.2025
Zagatala
-
MOIK Baku
1:0
28.02.2025
MOIK Baku
-
Zagatala
0:0
27.11.2024
MOIK Baku
-
Zagatala
3:1
29.03.2024
Zagatala
-
MOIK Baku
0:1
Latest results of Zagatala
Latest results of MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 47:19 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | Baku Sporting | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 40 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Sabail | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Difai Agsu | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimal | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18:53 | -35 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation