Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 11
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (331/387) | 90% (563/625) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (331/387) | 90% (563/625) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (87/111) | 83% (142/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 1, Agnarsson M. ⚽, Kirchheiner M. (A),
- 63', 1 - 1, Hansen M. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
- 64', Egerton E. ↓, Baekgard S. ↑,
- 66', Kolawole J. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 66', Hansen M. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 74', Kaastrup M. ↓, Lunding K. ↑,
- 82', Tjornelund P. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
- 82', Lausen A. ↓, Gyamfi R. ↑,
- 87', Kirchheiner M. ↓, de Claville Berthelsen M. ↑,
- 87', Grube F. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
35.2% | Draw
26% | Aarhus Fremad
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esbjerg's form might have worsened.Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esbjerg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.16) |
3.62 ↓
(3.78) |
2.42 ↓
(3.1) |
6.4%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 2.
- Esbjerg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aarhus Fremad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Aarhus Fremad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Esbjerg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Aarhus Fremad?
Esbjerg has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Esbjerg?
Aarhus Fremad has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
18.05.2024
Aarhus Fremad
-
Esbjerg
2:0
26.04.2024
Esbjerg
-
Aarhus Fremad
0:1
24.03.2024
Esbjerg
-
Aarhus Fremad
2:2
14.10.2023
Aarhus Fremad
-
Esbjerg
2:4
21.05.2023
Esbjerg
-
Aarhus Fremad
3:1
Latest results of Esbjerg
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 23 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Horsens | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | B.93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Hobro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Koge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
