Result
3:1
05/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/356) | 88% (458/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/356) | 88% (458/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 67% (32/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (66/93) | 77% (95/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Higgins N. 🟨,
- 10', Reid A. 🟨,
- 30', Singh L. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Reid A. ⚽, Ferrin M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Klomp D. 🟨,
- 57', Fewo 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Lopez L. ⚽,
- 63', Reid A. ↓, Altobelli J. ↑,
- 67', Baldisimo M. ↓, Field T. ↑,
- 67', Fewo ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 70', Botello O. 🟨,
- 72', Lopez L. 🟨,
- 73', Lopez L. ↓, Adekugbe E. ↑,
- 79', Sellouf A. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 79', Camargo S. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 0, Ferrari M. ⚽, Botello O. (A),
- 87', 3 - 1, Aird F. (Pen),
- 89', Ferrin M. ↓, Record-Wright K. ↑,
- 89', Kibato K. ↓, Accettola L. ↑,
Chances of winning
York United
34% | Draw
27.6% | Cavalry
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for York United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
York United - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.66) |
3.31 ↓
(3.4) |
2.37 ↑
(2.34) |
9.5%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for York United - Cavalry?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. York United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York United won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, York United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, York United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Cavalry?
York United has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against York United?
Cavalry has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between York United - Cavalry were as follows:
26.07.2025
Cavalry
-
York United
0:1
08.06.2025
Cavalry
-
York United
2:1
02.05.2025
York United
-
Cavalry
1:2
20.09.2024
York United
-
Cavalry
0:2
16.08.2024
York United
-
Cavalry
1:2
Latest results of York United
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 46:24 | 22 | 47 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | York Utd | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Valour | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28:51 | -23 | 22 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24:43 | -19 | 21 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 27:52 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
