Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/423) | 80% (294/367) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/423) | 80% (294/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (83/131) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
- 41', Rudenko A. 🟨,
- 44', Rudenko A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lesovoy D. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 48', Shnaptsev M. 🟨,
- 63', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Olusegun O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Lucas Fasson ⚽,
- 75', Smelov E. ↓, Sidorenko A. ↑,
- 75', Ermakov N. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
- 77', Kakkoev N. 🟨,
- 88', Shnaptsev M. ↓, Ticic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow 63.9% | Draw 21.4% | Pari NN 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.Pari NN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.36) |
4.54 ↓ (5.09) |
6.58 ↓ (7.74) |
3.3% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pari NN will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 5.
- Lokomotiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lokomotiv is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Pari NN?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Pari NN has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN were as follows:
02.08.2025
Pari NN
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:3
19.04.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Pari NN
3:0
22.09.2024
Pari NN
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:3
24.04.2024
Pari NN
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:3
30.09.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Pari NN
1:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Pari NN
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL