Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 31
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 70% (240/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 70% (240/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (39/94) | 30% (20/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (41/76) | 58% (84/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 60 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Reverson D. ⚽, Berisha V. (A),
- 25', Vujevic D. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Bertone L. ⚽, Rastoder E. (A),
- 41', Meichtry F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', Tsawa C. 🟨,
- 73', Vujevic D. ↓, Ihendu K. ↑,
- 73', Reverson D. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 75', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
- 75', Reichmuth N. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Cavaleiro I. ⚽, Berisha V. (A),
- 79', Meichtry F. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
- 80', Walker S. ↓, Comenencia L. ↑,
- 84', Ibayi C. 🟨,
- 87', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 88', Kait M. ↓, Dahler L. ↑,
- 89', Fehr F. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 90+5', Hediger D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Perea J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zürich
18.6% | Draw
23.2% | Thun
58.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thun's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zürich - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.98 ↑
(4.2) |
4.05 ↑
(3.37) |
1.63 ↓
(1.88) |
6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zürich - Thun?
Users Predictions:
Thun will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Zürich is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 0.
- Recent form of Zürich has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Thun is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Thun is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Zürich: Volken N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Thun: Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zürich: Walker S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Thun: Imeri K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:34. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Thun?
Zürich has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Zürich?
Thun has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Thun were as follows:
20.12.2025
Thun
-
Zürich
4:2
23.08.2025
Zürich
-
Thun
0:4
06.07.2024
Thun
-
Zürich
0:0
Swiss Super League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 72:36 | 36 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 62:38 | 24 | 59 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 54 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 53 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 64:59 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 62:59 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 56:56 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 47:54 | -7 | 39 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 45:62 | -17 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38:65 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 35:84 | -49 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
