Spain vs France, UEFA Nations League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Nations League
Soccer UEFA Nations League Spain - France
Result
5:4
05/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Spain - France - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.912.78
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1624
Shots on target
89
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
82% (324/393)90% (451/501)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.912.78
xG on target (xGOT)
3.272.91
Total shots
1624
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
08
Blocked Shots
87
Shots inside the Box
1517
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2341
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
82% (324/393)90% (451/501)
Long passes
48% (21/44)52% (14/27)
Passes in final third
59% (42/71)87% (153/175)
Crosses
29% (2/7)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.331.34
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1714
Tackles
58% (14/24)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
1314
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.913.27
Goals prevented
-0.09-1.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Merino M. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
  • 33', Yamal L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 4)
  • 51', Rabiot A. 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 0, Yamal L. (Pen),
  • 55', 4 - 0, Pedri ⚽, Williams N. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 63', Kalulu P. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
  • 63', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
  • 63', Olise M. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 64', Williams N. ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
  • 64', Pedri ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
  • 67', 5 - 1, Yamal L. ⚽, Porro P. (A),
  • 72', Lenglet C. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 76', Dembele O. ↓, Kolo Muani R. ↑,
  • 77', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Samu ↑,
  • 77', Le Normand R. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
  • 79', 5 - 2, Cherki R. ⚽, Mbappe K. (A),
  • 82', Hernandez T. 🟨,
  • 84', 5 - 3, Vivian D. (Own goal), Gusto M. (A),
  • 90+1', Merino M. ↓, Gavi ↑,
  • 90+3', 5 - 4, Kolo Muani R. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
  • 90+4', Kolo Muani R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gavi 🟨,
  • 90+7', Kone M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/39da6ua5

Chances of winning


Spain
39.3%		Draw
29.2%		France
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 30.1% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
    •

    Spain - France Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.42 ↓
    (2.57)    		 3.28 ↑
    (3.15)    		 3.04 ↑
    (2.87)    		 4.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Spain - France?
  • Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 57 - 64%). France will win (votes: 20 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 13.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 54% – 74%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • TQ, OT - Spain (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spain will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 3.
    • Spain will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spain - France were as follows:
    09.07.2024 Spain - France 2:1
    Latest results of Spain
    23.03.2025 Spain - Netherlands 4:3 ✺
    20.03.2025 Netherlands - Spain 2:2 ✺
    18.11.2024 Spain - Switzerland 3:2 ✺
    15.11.2024 Denmark - Spain 1:2 ✺
    15.10.2024 Spain - Serbia 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of France
    23.03.2025 France - Croatia 3:0 ✺
    20.03.2025 Croatia - France 2:0 ✺
    17.11.2024 Italy - France 1:3 ✺
    14.11.2024 France - Israel 0:0 ✺
    14.10.2024 Belgium - France 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    League A - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ItalyGermany3 : 3, 1 : 2
    2DenmarkPortugal2 : 5, 1 : 0
    3NetherlandsSpain3 : 4, 2 : 2
    4CroatiaFrance0 : 3, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1GermanyPortugal1 : 2
    2SpainFrance5 : 4

    Final
    1PortugalSpain3 : 2

    3rd place
    2GermanyFrance0 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Spain - France?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    cambodiaCambodiaCNC, CTN
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaNova TV
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceMolotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    germanyGermanyARD, Das Erste, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceAlpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyCielo TV, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCsport Caribbean, ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, TV 8
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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