Maribor vs Botev Plovdiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Maribor - Botev Plovdiv
Result
2:2
18/07/2024 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Romanov V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, SportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
montenegroMontenegroSportKlub
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
2212
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
123
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
112
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
515
Yellow Cards
04
Attacks
149124
Dangerous Attacks
9863

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Repas J. , Ilicic J. (A),
  • 32', Popov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Iliev N. , Nwachukwu C. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Nwachukwu C. , Popov I. (A),
  • 56', Barisic M. , Bozic M. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Ujah A. , Nwachukwu C. (A),
  • 63', Bourles R. , Sikosek G. ,
  • 63', Repas Z. , Beugre E. ,
  • 70', Akere S. , Ukaki E. ,
  • 72', Ukaki E. 🟨,
  • 74', Jakupovic A. , Grlic N. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Beugre E. , Bozic M. (A),
  • 83', Popov I. , Diabate S. ,
  • 87', Minkov N. 🟨,
  • 87', Ujah A. , Sekulic M. ,
  • 88', Eto'o J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maribor
61.9%
Draw
21.3%
Botev Plovdiv
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.9% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 23.1% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maribor's performance.
  • Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maribor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Maribor - Botev Plovdiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.72)
    4.36
    (3.94)
    5.57
    (4.37)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Maribor - Botev Plovdiv?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 61.9%89.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Botev Plovdiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Maribor have a series of home games.
    • In this match Maribor is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Maribor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maribor - Botev Plovdiv were as follows:
    11.07.2024 Botev Plovdiv - Maribor 2:1
    Latest results of Maribor
    Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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