Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 7
- Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (342/433) | 85% (470/553) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (342/433) | 85% (470/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (36/82) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (38/64) | 81% (138/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 12% (4/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Klitten O. ⚽, Klitten L. (A),
- 16', Rasmussen V. ↓, Hansen T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Dietz F. 🟨,
- 62', Ankersen J. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 62', Bjur P. ↓, Maden M. ↑,
- 67', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Bryld A. ↑,
- 67', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Bruhn M. ⚽, Nielsen M. (A),
- 73', Lausen A. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 73', Buus J. ↓, Tjornelund P. ↑,
- 76', From L. ↓, Strandby N. ↑,
- 77', Bryld A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Klitten L. ↓, Kannegaard M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hobro
34.3% | Draw
24.7% | Esbjerg
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Hobro - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.5) |
3.83 ↓
(4.25) |
2.35 ↑
(2.29) |
5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hobro - Esbjerg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Esbjerg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Esbjerg will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 0.
- Hobro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Esbjerg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:46. (average 1.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.7:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Esbjerg?
Hobro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Hobro?
Esbjerg has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hobro - Esbjerg were as follows:
03.11.2024
Esbjerg
-
Hobro
3:2
26.07.2024
Hobro
-
Esbjerg
3:6
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Esbjerg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Kolding IF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Hillerod | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Lyngby | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | B.93 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Hvidovre IF | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Hobro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Aalborg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Koge | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
