Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL
Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats
Result
87:90
03/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital+

Match Stats

Goals
1213
Behinds
1512
Kicks
217197
Handballs
134137
Disposals
351334
Frees For
1421
Frees Against
2114
Clearances Completed
3735
Marks
10878
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
5033

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 01:15, Neale S. (G),
  • 06:27, Cameron D. (Behind),
  • 07:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:01, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 10:33, Smith B. (G),
  • 13:26, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 15:07, Hill B. (G),
  • 17:40, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 18:50, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 20:29, Cox M. (G),
  • 22:34, Cameron D. (G),
  • 25:41, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 28:30, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 29:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 33:34, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (20 - 16)
  • 00:41, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 02:13, Houston D. (G),
  • 05:17, Elliott J. (G),
  • 07:06, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:39, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 10:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:15, Henry O. (G),
  • 15:03, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 18:28, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
  • 22:22, Daicos N. (G),
  • 23:39, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 21)
  • 01:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:24, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 07:13, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 08:45, Pendlebury S. (G),
  • 10:56, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 16:22, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 20:27, Cameron J. (G),
  • 21:53, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:25, Wiltshire O. (G),
  • 25:40, Membrey T. (G),
  • 27:21, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (17 - 27)
  • 01:46, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 05:34, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 07:31, Henry O. (G),
  • 11:06, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
  • 13:40, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 21:00, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 22:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 24:11, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 24:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:03, Bowes J. (G),
  • 30:45, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 32:04, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 35:31, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 37:33, Crisp J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
65.3%		Geelong Cats
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collingwood Magpies's performance.
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↓
    (1.74)
    		2.64 ↑
    (2.1)    		 7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
    •
    What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
  • Users Predictions: Collingwood Magpies will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:79.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.
    • Collingwood is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1527:1558. (average 76.4:77.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 832:928. (average 75.6:84.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 71:91
    11.08.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 109:101
    17.03.2023 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 103:125
    03.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 78:72
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    25.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers 107:66 ✺
    17.04.2025 Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies 53:105 ✺
    11.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans 109:78
    03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46 ✺
    21.03.2025 Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies 70:76 ✺
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    27.04.2025 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 94:76 ✺
    21.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 86:79 ✺
    10.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats 100:119 ✺
    04.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons 85:46 ✺
    29.03.2025 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 70:61
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2015052019:1401144.1160
    2Collingwood Magpies2015051807:1382130.7560
    3Brisbane Lions2014151781:1589112.0858
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Gold Coast Suns1913061784:1426125.1152
    6Hawthorn Hawks2013071764:1500117.6052
    7Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    8GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    9Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    10Sydney Swans20100101567:165094.9740
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Melbourne Demons2070131671:175995.0028
    13Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1960131281:178071.9724
    16Richmond Tigers2050151246:190365.4820
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles2010191305:210761.944

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