Result
07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Freiburg 31.5% | Draw 27.7% | Bayer Leverkusen 40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.04 ↓ (3.07) |
3.42 ↓ (3.54) |
2.34 ↑ (2.25) |
4.8% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Freiburg?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
26.10.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:0
04.05.2025
Freiburg
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
21.12.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
5:1
17.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
29.10.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga