Result
3:3
07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 25
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (402/456) | 88% (463/525) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (402/456) | 88% (463/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (124/149) | 85% (138/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 34', 1 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Kofane C. ⚽, Terrier M. (A),
- 43', 2 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Treu P. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Grimaldo A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 3, Terrier M. ⚽, Kofane C. (A),
- 63', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 63', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 66', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
- 70', Scherhant D. 🟨,
- 75', Terrier M. ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
- 76', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
- 76', Manzambi J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 79', Irie C. 🟨,
- 83', Quansah J. 🟨,
- 83', Poku E. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez E. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 3, Ginter M. ⚽, Scherhant D. (A),
- 90+2', Andrich R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gunter C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
32.1% | Draw
27.9% | Bayer Leverkusen
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(3.07) |
3.44 ↓
(3.54) |
2.39 ↑
(2.25) |
4.5%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 27% – 65.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.79) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Freiburg (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bayer (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Rosenfelder M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Arthur
(Injury)
Bade L.
(Muscle Injury)
Ben Seghir E.
(Ankle Injury)
Flekken M.
(Injury)
Lucas
(Calf Injury)
Tella N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Schick P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Freiburg?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
26.10.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:0
04.05.2025
Freiburg
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
21.12.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
5:1
17.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
29.10.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 20 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 16 | 58 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
