Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:1
01/11/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.54
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
86% (387/451)88% (422/477)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.26
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (387/451)88% (422/477)
Long passes
58% (28/48)48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)68% (50/73)
Crosses
12% (2/17)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.42
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1214
Tackles
50% (5/10)33% (5/15)
Duels won
4839
Clearances
815
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.260.84
Goals prevented
-0.750.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Gomes A. ⚽,
  • 36', Emerson 🟨,
  • 39', O'Riley M. 🟨,
  • 43', Coulibaly L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
  • 45+3', Vaz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Vaz R. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 63', Gomes A. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 65', Garcia U. 🟥,
  • 69', Casimir J. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
  • 69', Mensah G. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
  • 78', Aubameyang P. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
  • 80', Diomande S. 🟨,
  • 84', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
  • 84', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
  • 87', Danny Namaso 🟨,
  • 90+3', Diomande S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Auxerre
18.1%		Draw
24.9%		Olympique Marseille
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 24.3% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 23.9% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Auxerre - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.28 ↑
    (4.49)    		 3.85 ↓
    (3.94)    		 1.68 ↓
    (1.76)    		 4.5%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Auxerre - Olympique Marseille?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Marseille (2.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Auxerre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Marseille (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Marseille (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (61 of 68 users predict this - 89.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.49% – 96.93%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 45 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 2.2%). Marseille (votes: 44 - 97.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
    • Auxerre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marseille has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Marseille is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Matondo R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 3:0
    08.11.2024 Olympique Marseille - Auxerre 1:3
    03.09.2022 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:2
    Latest results of Auxerre
    29.10.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 0:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 2:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    29.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Angers 2:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    22.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 6:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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