Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (310/355) | 82% (232/282) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (310/355) | 82% (232/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (22/37) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (59/80) | 59% (46/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽, Bakrar M. (A),
- 16', Husic A. ↓, Pavic B. ↑,
- 23', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', McKenna S. ↓, Valincic M. ↑,
- 50', Dantas T. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Dantas T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Orec A. 🟨,
- 59', Ndockyt M. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 64', Valincic M. 🟨,
- 71', Zajc M. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 71', Bakrar M. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Dantas T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Goda B. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
- 84', Orec A. 🟨,
- 85', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 2, Beljo D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Bodetic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dinamo Zagreb
69% | Draw
19.2% | Rijeka
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Zagreb's performance.Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Zagreb that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.55) |
4.96 ↑
(3.85) |
8.02 ↑
(5.66) |
6.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dinamo Zagreb will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 3.
- Dinamo Zagreb is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Rijeka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Inactive)
Livakovic D.
(Inactive)
Perez Vinlof M.
(Inactive)
Theophile-Catherine K.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Barco A.
(Yellow Cards)
Devetak M.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Knee Injury)
Vignato S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Goda B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Barisic T.
(Injury)
- We predict that Dinamo Zagreb will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Rijeka?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 11 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Rijeka has won 1 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka were as follows:
08.02.2026
Rijeka
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:0
01.11.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Rijeka
2:1
16.08.2025
Rijeka
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:2
27.04.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Rijeka
1:0
22.02.2025
Rijeka
-
Dinamo Zagreb
4:0
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
