Hamburger SV vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2, Tivibu Spor 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.08
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (443/546)78% (312/402)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.03
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
81% (443/546)78% (312/402)
Long passes
37% (15/41)45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
65% (109/168)57% (52/91)
Crosses
41% (9/22)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.40
Throw-ins
2112
Fouls
1514
Tackles
75% (12/16)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.031.10
Goals prevented
-0.970.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Beifus M. 🟨,
  • 27', Elfadli D. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ben Farhat L. , Conte B. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Selke D. (Pen),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Wanitzek M. , Ben Farhat L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Burnic D. 🟨,
  • 59', Karabec A. , Pherai I. ,
  • 64', Burnic D. , Heusser R. ,
  • 64', Ben Farhat L. , Schleusener F. ,
  • 67', Jensen L. 🟨,
  • 72', Meffert J. , Konigsdorffer R. ,
  • 72', Selke D. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 82', Mikelbrencis W. , Stange O. ,
  • 82', Sahiti E. , Balde F. ,
  • 85', Conte B. , Hunziker A. ,
  • 89', Jung S. , Pinto Pedrosa R. ,
  • 89', Jensen L. , Bormuth R. ,
  • 90', Heusser R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rapp N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
64.4%
Draw
19.2%
Karlsruher
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 20% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 19.6% 18.5%

Hamburger SV - Karlsruher Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.47
(1.54)
4.9
(4.71)
5.75
(5)
6%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Karlsruher could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Oliveira N. (Muscle Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Pfeiffer L. (Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karlsruher: Jung S. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:24 (average 2.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Karlsruher were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Karlsruher - Hamburger SV 1:3
    28.01.2024 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 3:4
    06.08.2023 Karlsruher - Hamburger SV 2:2
    12.03.2023 Karlsruher - Hamburger SV 4:2
    03.09.2022 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    04.04.2025 Karlsruher - Hannover 1:0
    29.03.2025 Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher 3:1
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke16121321:81337
    2Elversberg16103330:141633
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1685329:20929
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1683527:18927
    8Karlsruher SC1663723:31-821
    9Bochum1662821:20120
    10Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    11Preussen Munster1654721:25-419
    12Nurnberg1654717:22-519
    13Holstein Kiel1645718:21-317
    14Braunschweig1652918:28-1017
    15Greuther Furth1643925:42-1715
    16Magdeburg16421018:27-914
    17Dusseldorf16421013:26-1314
    18SG Dynamo Dresden1634923:32-913

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga