Result
4:2
03/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Ninte M. ⚽, Neves L. (A),
- 5', Monteiro E. 🟨,
- 20', 2 - 0, Niang M. ⚽, Andrey (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Monteiro E. ⚽, Tarzan (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Andrey ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 52', Beni D. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 1, Iheanacho S. ⚽,
- 60', Maneta D. ↓, Ewandro Santos ↑,
- 61', Magalhaes M. ↓, Alexandre R. ↑,
- 64', Yordy Marcelo 🟨,
- 67', Ninte M. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
- 73', Gata J. ↓, Farinha L. ↑,
- 80', Goncas ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
- 80', Niang M. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
- 80', Iheanacho S. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 84', Matos R. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 2, Chaves G. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 2, Matos R. ⚽,
- 90+2', Matos R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mafra
43.2% | Draw
29.1% | Caldas
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mafra - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.73) |
3.15 ↓
(3.31) |
3.3 ↓
(4.54) |
9.3%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mafra - Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Mafra will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent performances by Mafra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caldas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Caldas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mafra is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Caldas?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Mafra?
Caldas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Caldas were as follows:
28.09.2025
Caldas
-
Mafra
1:1
27.07.2024
Caldas
-
Mafra
0:2
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante ✔ | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 | Trofense | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Varzim | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Paredes | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Braga B | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 31 |
| 3 | Academica | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Amora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Caldas ✔ | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
