Marsa vs Vittoriosa Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
48
Shots on target
36
Corner kicks
16
Total shots
48
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
12
Corner kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Conti K. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Scerri T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 83', 1 - 2, Mallia L. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Marsa
33.7%
Draw
27.1%
Vittoriosa Stars
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 26.4% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25.2% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.45)
    3.33
    (3.4)
    2.3
    (2.42)
    11%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars were as follows:
    08.02.2026 Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa 1:1
    27.08.2022 Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars 1:1
    Latest results of Marsa
    15.02.2026 Marsa - Balzan 1:4
    08.02.2026 Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa 1:1
    31.01.2026 Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers 0:1
    18.01.2026 Marsa - Santa Lucia 2:2
    11.01.2026 Melita - Marsa 3:2
    Latest results of Vittoriosa Stars
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation