Result
0:1
30/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 28
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/548) | 77% (342/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/548) | 77% (342/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (17/50) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (109/160) | 67% (99/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', From L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Skipper A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Ouorou Y. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
- 63', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
- 71', Hansen M. ↓, Ammitzboll A. ↑,
- 71', Vigen L. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 78', Skipper A. ↓, Foss J. ↑,
- 81', Herdonsson A. ↓, Moro A. ↑,
- 81', Justinussen A. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 82', Madsen J. 🟨,
- 87', Renecke W. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 90+2', Lucena J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
33.7% | Draw
29% | Horsens
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Esbjerg - Horsens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.52) |
3.21 ↑
(3.15) |
2.49 ↓
(2.79) |
7.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Horsens?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 1.
- Recent performances by Esbjerg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Horsens is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Horsens?
Esbjerg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Esbjerg?
Horsens has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Horsens were as follows:
21.04.2026
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
4:1
28.02.2026
Esbjerg
-
Horsens
2:1
20.09.2025
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
1:0
03.05.2025
Esbjerg
-
Horsens
0:1
18.04.2025
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
3:2
Latest results of Esbjerg
Latest results of Horsens
Danish 1 Division Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Horsens | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Hillerod | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Esbjerg | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 42 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Superliga
