Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/427) | 77% (278/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/427) | 77% (278/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 50% (35/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/126) | 63% (81/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Dean M. ⚽, Kanga W. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Ferraro F. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 61', Lopes L. ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Kadri A. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
- 71', Rodes N. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 71', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 71', Hrncar D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 79', Ferraro F. ↓, Daali A. ↑,
- 79', Dean M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 81', Daali A. 🟨,
- 83', Araujo T. 🟨,
- 88', Mbamba N. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Kanga W. ⚽,
- 90+3', Araujo T. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
- 90+3', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
- 90+4', De Vlieger T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
28.3% | Draw
26.7% | Gent
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Dender EH - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↓
(3.55) |
3.55 ↓
(3.64) |
2.1 ↑
(1.98) |
5.8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Gent?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Gent will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gent (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Dender EH (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Gent (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 40%). Gent (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Dender EH is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
- Dender EH has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Gent has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gent is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Fredrick B.
(Knee Injury)
Verrips M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A.
(Inactive)
Paskotsi M.
(Muscle Injury)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Cools K.
(Inactive)
Nsimba B.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Gent?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Dender EH?
Gent has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Gent were as follows:
19.09.2025
Gent
-
Dender EH
3:0
12.01.2025
Dender EH
-
Gent
0:0
04.08.2024
Gent
-
Dender EH
1:2
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
