Forlì vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
35
Total shots
107
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Menarini F. , Berti N. ,
  • 46', Spinelli A. , Rossi D. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Macri D. ,
  • 55', Bolsius D. , Bacchin L. ,
  • 55', Canotto L. , Dottori C. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Bacchin L. ,
  • 72', Palomba L. , Greco G. ,
  • 75', Tumbarello G. , Rondolini P. ,
  • 76', Ladinetti R. , Bartolomei P. ,
  • 79', Verre V. , Perugini M. ,
  • 82', Petrelli E. , Zagre A. ,
  • 88', Macri D. , Ripani D. ,

Chances of winning


Forlì
26.8%
Draw
30.4%
Perugia
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.8% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 28.9% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forlì's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forlì, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Forlì - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.73)
    3.03
    (3.09)
    2.15
    (2.52)
    8.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Forlì - Perugia?
  • Users Predictions: Perugia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Forlì has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Perugia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Forlì may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forlì - Perugia were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Perugia - Forlì 4:0
    30.07.2024 Perugia - Forlì 4:2
    Latest results of Forlì
    18.04.2026 Carpi - Forlì 0:1
    11.04.2026 Forlì - Ascoli 0:3
    04.04.2026 Bra - Forlì 2:1
    29.03.2026 Forlì - Pianese 0:0
    21.03.2026 Campobasso - Forlì 2:0
    Latest results of Perugia
    18.04.2026 Perugia - Campobasso 0:1
    12.04.2026 Ternana - Perugia 2:2
    04.04.2026 Perugia - Juventus U23 2:2
    29.03.2026 Vis Pesaro - Perugia 0:1
    20.03.2026 Perugia - Sassari Torres 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation