Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Menarini F. ↓, Berti N. ↑,
- 46', Spinelli A. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Macri D. ⚽,
- 55', Bolsius D. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 55', Canotto L. ↓, Dottori C. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Bacchin L. ⚽,
- 72', Palomba L. ↓, Greco G. ↑,
- 75', Tumbarello G. ↓, Rondolini P. ↑,
- 76', Ladinetti R. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
- 79', Verre V. ↓, Perugini M. ↑,
- 82', Petrelli E. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
- 88', Macri D. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forlì 26.8% | Draw 30.4% | Perugia 42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forlì's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forlì, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Forlì - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.44 ↑ (2.73) |
3.03 ↓ (3.09) |
2.15 ↓ (2.52) |
8.6% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Forlì - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
Perugia will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).
- Forlì has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Perugia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Forlì may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Forlì won against Perugia?
Forlì has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Forlì?
Perugia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forlì - Perugia were as follows:
21.12.2025
Perugia
-
Forlì
4:0
30.07.2024
Perugia
-
Forlì
4:2
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 40 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 40 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 20 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 3 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | -35 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation