Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence
Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.73
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
77% (266/346)80% (351/437)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.06
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
77% (266/346)80% (351/437)
Long passes
66% (44/67)45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)61% (59/97)
Crosses
36% (12/33)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.68
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1014
Tackles
64% (7/11)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5854
Clearances
1534
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.060.65
Goals prevented
0.060.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Gomez O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
  • 54', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
  • 63', Ayimbila J. , Ramos J. ,
  • 64', Hernandez O. , Lombardi A. ,
  • 68', Bakero J. , Marou S. ,
  • 68', Jauregui R. , Moshobane T. ,
  • 71', Mercer G. , Bentley M. ,
  • 72', Wessels W. , Acosta M. ,
  • 80', Ndiaye B. , Alcocer P. ,
  • 80', Jaime C. , Ngah F. ,
  • 85', Lelin Y. , Vazquez Z. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Alcocer P. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga Red Wolves
41.3%
Draw
27.9%
Charlotte Independence
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 25.8% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 21.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga Red Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.09)
    3.31
    (3.31)
    3
    (2.57)
    8.1%
    (17%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 0.
    • Chattanooga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:0
    16.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 0:2
    14.06.2024 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:2
    09.09.2023 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0
    24.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 2:2
    Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ 271310437:261149
    2One Knoxville ✔ 27139537:241348
    3Spokane Velocity ✔ 26137636:261046
    4FC Naples ✔ 26128637:271044
    5Portland Hearts of Pine261010637:30740
    6Union Omaha261151043:36738
    7Tormenta271151147:45238
    8Charlotte Independ27971141:44-334
    9Forward Madison27711928:33-532
    10AV Alta27711936:42-632
    11Greenville27871237:38-131
    12Texoma27691233:50-1727
    13Richmond Kickers27751538:49-1126
    14Westchester SC27481538:55-1720

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    One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )