Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (42/56) | 77% (48/62) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (24/33) | 68% (23/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (15/62) | 25% (14/56) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 27% (9/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 17 | 40 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (66/89) | 73% (70/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (26/96) | 26% (23/89) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (92/185) | 50% (93/185) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 94% (15/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 7% (1/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (16/31) |
Chances of winning
Francis Tiafoe
69.2% | Aleksandar Kovacevic
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.33) |
|
3.08 ↓
(3.33) |
4.8%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 28. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 75.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tiafoe is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Francis Tiafoe has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aleksandar Kovacevic won against Francis Tiafoe?
Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic were as follows:
23.07.2025
Aleksandar Kovacevic
-
Francis Tiafoe
1:2
26.08.2024
Aleksandar Kovacevic
-
Francis Tiafoe
1:3
01.08.2024
Aleksandar Kovacevic
-
Francis Tiafoe
1:2
Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jodar R. (WC) | Norrie C. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (3) | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Duckworth J. | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. (WC) | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Hijikata R. (LL) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Altmaier D. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Vacherot V. (6) | Wong C. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Dzumhur D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. | Ymer E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Kypson P. (Q) | De Minaur A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Wu Y. | Shimabukuro S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svrcina D. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bellucci M. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vacherot V. (6) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. | Kypson P. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wu Y. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vacherot V. (6) | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Cobolli F. (5) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
