Lugano vs Partizan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2 ET
15/08/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Bengoetxea R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1414
Shots on Goal
47
Shots off Goal
94
Blocked Shots
13
Corner Kicks
610
Offsides
20
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
1415
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
63
Attacks
108140
Dangerous Attacks
9170

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Arriaga K. 🟨,
  • 33', Ibrahim Z. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Zahid G. , Severina X. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Goh Young-Jun , Saldanha ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Steffen R. , Bislimi U. (A),
  • 49', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 54', Dos Santos D. , Vladi S. ,
  • 63', Grgic A. , Belhadj M. ,
  • 64', Aliseda I. , Mahou H. ,
  • 64', Ibrahim Z. , Grimaldo J. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Markovic S. , Zahid G. (A),
  • 70', Mujakic N. 🟨,
  • 88', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 88', Bislimi U. , Mai L. ,
  • 89', Zahid G. , Owusu L. ,
  • 89', Severina X. , Trifunovic N. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 105', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
  • 111', 2 - 2, Mahou H. ,
  • 112', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 113', Arriaga K. , Natcho B. ,
  • 115', Steffen R. 🟨,
  • 117', Mahou H. , Marques M. ,
  • 117', Steffen R. , Brault-Guillard Z. ,
  • 120+3', Doumbia O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugano
62.5%
Draw
20.8%
Partizan
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.7% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 23.9% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.
  • Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Lugano - Partizan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.73)
    4.53
    (3.79)
    5.6
    (4.42)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Lugano - Partizan?
  • Users Predictions: Lugano will win (81 of 87 users predict this - 93.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.77%98.43%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stockhorn Arena. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Lugano is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Partizan were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Partizan - Lugano 0:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    11.08.2024 Lugano - Luzern 2:3
    08.08.2024 Partizan - Lugano 0:1
    03.08.2024 Lugano - Servette 3:1
    30.07.2024 Fenerbahçe - Lugano 2:1
    27.07.2024 Basel - Lugano 1:2
    Latest results of Partizan
    08.08.2024 Partizan - Lugano 0:1
    31.07.2024 Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv 0:3
    27.07.2024 Jedinstvo Ub - Partizan 0:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2