Result
5:1
28/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/439) | 78% (258/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/439) | 78% (258/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (156/187) | 56% (48/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Pletinckx E. (Own goal),
- 35', Verlinden T. 🟨,
- 41', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Teklab H. ↓, Dussenne N. ↑,
- 47', Opoku D. 🟨,
- 47', 2 - 1, Hazard T. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 1, Cvetkovic M. ⚽,
- 57', Augustinsson L. 🟨,
- 61', Lakomy L. ↓, Schrijvers S. ↑,
- 61', Verlinden T. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 63', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 65', Diarra M. 🟨,
- 66', Saliba N. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 70', Dussenne N. 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 1, Hazard T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 74', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
- 74', Maziz Y. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 80', Ilic M. 🟨,
- 82', Degreef T. 🟨,
- 86', Degreef T. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 87', Camara I. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, De Cat N. (A),
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
54.8% | Draw
25.4% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.71) |
3.74 ↓
(3.82) |
4.83 ↓
(4.96) |
5.7%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Leuven (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Leuven (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Anderlecht will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 40%). Leuven (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Kana M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
Leysen T.
(Eye injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Anderlecht has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Anderlecht?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
26.09.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Anderlecht
1:1
01.12.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Anderlecht
0:0
10.08.2024
Anderlecht
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
21.01.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Anderlecht
1:1
28.10.2023
Anderlecht
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
5:1
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
