Result
4:5 penalties
17/01/2026 at 04:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 17:38, 1 - 0, Rogach D. (G), Nikulin V. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:36, 1 - 1, Filippov V. (G), Ozerov M. (A),
- 03:47, 1 - 2, Kazachek A. (G), Didkovsky A. (A),
- 11:23, 2 - 2, Buinitsky A. (G), Rogach D. (A), Nikulin V. (A2)
- 14:05, 2 - 3, Filippov V. (G), Avramenko M. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 08:21, 3 - 3, Tolopilo M. (G), Nozdrachev Y. (A),
- 12:22, 3 - 4, Savchenko N. (G), Noskov D. (A),
- 16:48, 4 - 4, Rogach D. (G), Ignatov K. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Yerkin D. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Rogach D. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Savchenko N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Buinitsky A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Noskov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Nikulin V. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Polkin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Tolopilo M. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Kurkov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Rychkov I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Orsha 27.2% | Draw 22.4% | Slavutych Smolensk 50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Slavutych Smolensk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavutych Smolensk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Lokomotiv Orsha - Slavutych Smolensk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.32 ↑ (3.18) |
4.03 ↑ (3.93) |
1.79 ↓ (1.87) |
10.9% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 2.
- In recent matches, Lokomotiv Orsha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Slavutych is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Slavutych may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lokomotiv Orsha has had a series of home games.
- Slavutych is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 2.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Orsha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Orsha won against Slavutych Smolensk?
Lokomotiv Orsha has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slavutych Smolensk won against Lokomotiv Orsha?
Slavutych Smolensk has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Orsha - Slavutych Smolensk were as follows:
15.01.2026
Lokomotiv Orsha
-
Slavutych Smolensk
1:3
13.10.2025
Slavutych Smolensk
-
Lokomotiv Orsha
3:1
11.10.2025
Slavutych Smolensk
-
Lokomotiv Orsha
5:1
02.08.2025
Slavutych Smolensk
-
Lokomotiv Orsha
1:4
12.02.2025
Lokomotiv Orsha
-
Slavutych Smolensk
2:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Orsha
Latest results of Slavutych Smolensk
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Yunost Minsk (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Molodechno (7) | Neman Grodno (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lida (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | Slavutych (5) | Bye | |
| 5 | Soligorsk (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | Brest (8) | Gomel (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Vitebsk (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Zhlobin (6) | Bye | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Yunost Minsk (1) | Neman Grodno (10) | |
| 2 | Lida (4) | Slavutych (5) | |
| 3 | Soligorsk (2) | Gomel (9) | |
| 4 | Vitebsk (3) | Zhlobin (6) | |