Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 32
- Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Adaev V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 🟨,
- 58', Bondarev V. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
- 68', Ishkov I. ↓, Mosin E. K. ↑,
- 68', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 68', Adaev V. ↓, Matskharashvili N. ↑,
- 69', Lozhkin V. ↓, Mullin K. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ⚽,
- 79', Anisimov A. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
- 82', Sekulic M. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Voronov M. ⚽,
- 86', Isaev S. ↓, Gystarov R. ↑,
- 87', Ageyan M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Chernyak I. ⚽,
- 90+5', Mamin A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ural
58.6% | Draw
25.4% | Ufa
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Ural - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.47) |
3.74 ↓
(4) |
5.95 ↓
(7.65) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 3.
- Recent form of Ural has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ufa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Ufa?
Ural has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Ural?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Ufa were as follows:
12.08.2024
Ufa
-
Ural
0:2
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ural | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Kamaz | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | R. Volgograd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Ufa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | SKA Khabarovsk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Chayka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:17 | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moscow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Saratov | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
