Raith Rovers vs Inverness – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
05/04/2026 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Raith TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
84
Corner kicks
33
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
96
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
12
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Cameron I. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Stewart A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Zimba C. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Cameron I. , Mullin J. (A),
  • 59', Montagu K. , Brown S. ,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Easton D. ,
  • 66', Chalmers J. , Bavidge A. ,
  • 66', Zimba C. , Longstaff L. ,
  • 69', 4 - 1, Easton D. ,
  • 71', Nsio P. , Vaughan L. ,
  • 71', Mullin J. , Chin R. ,
  • 77', Rowe J. 🟨,
  • 77', Sole L. , Wotherspoon D. ,
  • 77', Stewart A. , Mackinnon A. ,
  • 77', Alonge J. , MacLeod C. ,
  • 79', Easton D. , Wilson E. ,
  • 79', Cameron I. , Hamilton J. ,
  • 90', Brown S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raith Rovers
35.2%
Draw
29.9%
Inverness
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.4% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 26.6% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raith Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inverness's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raith Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inverness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Raith Rovers - Inverness Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (1.75)
    3.05
    (3.57)
    2.71
    (4)
    7.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Raith Rovers - Inverness?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Inverness will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Firhill Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 4.
    • In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Inverness is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Raith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Inverness has had a series of home games.
    • Raith might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raith Rovers - Inverness were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Raith Rovers - Inverness 5:1
    06.07.2024 Raith Rovers - Inverness 1:0
    19.04.2024 Inverness - Raith Rovers 0:1
    27.01.2024 Raith Rovers - Inverness 2:3
    02.12.2023 Inverness - Raith Rovers 1:2
    Latest results of Raith Rovers
    Latest results of Inverness
    21.03.2026 Alloa Athletic - Inverness 1:1
    17.03.2026 Inverness - Peterhead 3:1
    14.03.2026 Inverness - Cove Rangers 1:1
    07.03.2026 Inverness - Montrose 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1ArbroathKelty Hearts3 : 2
    2Elgin CityEast Fife2 : 3
    3AlloaAirdrieonians2 : 3
    4MontroseSpartans2 : 1
    5Queen's ParkClyde2 : 1
    6Forfar AthleticEdinburgh City2 : 1
    7RaithHamilton5 : 2
    8Queen of SouthDunfermline4 : 3
    9Hearts BSt Johnstone0 : 1
    10Ross CountyCeltic B4 : 0
    11AyrPeterhead2 : 1
    12East KilbrideStranraer1 : 4
    13Cove RangersPartick Thistle1 : 2
    14DumbartonInverness0 : 9
    15StirlingMorton3 : 2
    16StenhousemuirAnnan2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArbroathEast Fife3 : 0
    2AirdrieoniansMontrose3 : 1
    3Queen's ParkForfar Athletic2 : 0
    4RaithQueen of South1 : 0
    5St JohnstoneRoss County2 : 0
    6AyrStranraer4 : 1
    7Partick ThistleInverness3 : 4
    8StirlingStenhousemuir1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArbroathAirdrieonians2 : 3
    2Queen's ParkRaith1 : 2
    3St JohnstoneAyr3 : 4
    4InvernessStenhousemuir1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1AirdrieoniansRaith1 : 2
    2AyrInverness1 : 2

    Final
    1RaithInverness4 : 1