Result
1:3
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (267/383) | 81% (405/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (267/383) | 81% (405/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/71) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (98/156) | 70% (88/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (2/28) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.32 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Youan T. ⚽, Barlaser D. (A),
- 34', Megwa K. ↓, Cadden Ch. ↑,
- 45+2', Youan T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lyons B. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 52', Hoilett J. ↓, Obita J. ↑,
- 52', Iredale J. ↓, Mitchell Z. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, John-Jules T. ⚽,
- 61', Thompson D. ↓, Schjonning-Larsen M. ↑,
- 69', Deas R. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 2, Youan T. ⚽,
- 73', Anderson B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 73', Klidje T. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
- 73', Youan T. ↓, Molotnikov R. ↑,
- 77', Sallinger R. 🟨,
- 80', Watson D. 🟥,
- 85', Polworth L. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
- 85', Watkins M. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 87', Dackers M. 🟨,
- 90', Thompson J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, McGrath J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Obita J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
22.9% | Draw
26.5% | Hibernian
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kilmarnock - Hibernian Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(3.75) |
3.52 ↑
(3.25) |
1.85 ↓
(1.94) |
7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Hibernian?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Hibernian will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 0.
- Kilmarnock is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hibernian is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Hibernian is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- There will not play in Hibernian: Bushiri R.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: McKenzie R.
(Inactive)
Tiffoney S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Hibernian?
Kilmarnock has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Kilmarnock?
Hibernian has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Hibernian were as follows:
10.08.2025
Hibernian
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
15.03.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:1
29.12.2024
Hibernian
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
01.09.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:1
27.01.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
2:2
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Hibernian
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 40:17 | 23 | 47 |
| 2 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34:17 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Celtic | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16:28 | -12 | 18 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 21:41 | -20 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
