Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (188/275) | 80% (356/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (188/275) | 80% (356/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (37/72) | 61% (93/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 24% (9/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Gilbert D. ⚽, Penxa L. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Penxa L. ⚽, Kreiker D. (A),
- 24', Nebyla S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Okeke N. ↓, Sedlacek R. ↑,
- 46', Puskac D. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
- 46', Pantalon R. ↓, Holly D. ↑,
- 59', Zorvan F. ↓, Jawo L. ↑,
- 64', Zitny M. ↓, Gaszczyk P. ↑,
- 69', Pekhart T. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 70', Chramosta J. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
- 83', Backovsky H. 🟨,
- 88', Kreiker D. ↓, Hindi S. ↑,
- 88', Gilbert D. ↓, Zamazal D. ↑,
- 88', Penxa L. ↓, Kostka L. ↑,
- 90+2', Unusic B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dukla Prague
23.6% | Draw
29.6% | Jablonec
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Dukla Prague - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.04) |
3.17 ↓
(3.21) |
2 ↑
(1.94) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Jablonec?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dukla Prague (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jablonec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Dukla Prague (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jablonec will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dukla Prague (votes: 2 - 50%). Jablonec (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 1.
- Dukla Prague is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jablonec has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dukla Prague may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jablonec is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cisse N.
(Injury)
Emeka C.
(Inactive)
Kadak J.
(Knee Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
Sehovic Z.
(Injury)
Svozil J.
(Injury)
Tijani S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Jablonec: Alegue A.
(Red Card)
Hanus J.
(Calf Injury)
Polidar M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Hunal E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:34. (average 1.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Jablonec?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Dukla Prague?
Jablonec has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Jablonec were as follows:
28.10.2025
Jablonec
-
Dukla Prague
2:1
19.10.2025
Jablonec
-
Dukla Prague
0:0
07.12.2024
Jablonec
-
Dukla Prague
2:1
10.08.2024
Dukla Prague
-
Jablonec
0:2
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Latest results of Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 25 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 55:19 | 36 | 61 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Plzen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Liberec | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Zlin | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
