Aviron Bayonnais vs Toulon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon
Result
35:32
28/09/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France
peruPeruMovistar Deportes
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
24
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
72
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 10)
  • 10', White B. 🟨,
  • 11', Spring T. (Try),
  • 11', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Martin L. (Try),
  • 16', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 29', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', Drean G. (Try),
  • 36', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (15 - 22)
  • 43', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 46', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 51', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 58', Nonu M. (Try),
  • 58', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 63', Serin B. (Try),
  • 67', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Tiberghien C. 🟨,
  • 78', (Penalty Try),
  • 80', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Aviron Bayonnais
60.8%
Draw
4.1%
Toulon
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 6.1% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aviron Bayonnais's form might have worsened.
  • Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.
  • Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.37)
    23.65
    (15)
    2.58
    (3.35)
    8.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Toulon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aviron Bayonnais will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 2.
    • Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bayonne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Bayonne will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 316:583. (average 15.8:29.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 184:218. (average 20.4:24.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 18:10
    23.11.2024 Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais 39:19
    31.03.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 10:46
    26.08.2023 Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais 19:14
    31.12.2022 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 23:18
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    20.09.2025 Castres - Aviron Bayonnais 48:17
    06.09.2025 Perpignan - Aviron Bayonnais 19:26
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    13.06.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont 20:3
    Latest results of Toulon
    21.09.2025 Toulon - La Rochelle Postponed
    13.09.2025 Toulon - Castres 16:12
    06.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 17:27
    21.06.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 39:24
    14.06.2025 Toulon - Castres 52:23
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais5401144:14816
    2Stade Francais Paris5302150:11815
    3Bordeaux Begles5302165:13414
    4Stade Toulousain5302164:13314
    5RC Toulonnais4301108:8114
    6Section Paloise5302135:12314
    7Montpellier5212143:10213
    8Racing 925302138:13013
    9Lyon5302134:13413
    10Castres Olympique5203107:12511
    11Stade Rochelais420296:8410
    12Clermont5203205:16910
    13Montauban5014119:2492
    14USA Perpignan500566:1440

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