Luca Castagnola vs Lautaro Midon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Todi Challenger Men Luca Castagnola - Lautaro Midon
Result
2:0
11/08/2024 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
61%73%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (35/51)72% (39/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (22/33)60% (12/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (6/6)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
31% (17/54)33% (17/51)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (8/20)33% (11/33)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)0% (0/6)
Max Points In Row
94
Service Points Won
68% (57/84)68% (49/72)
Return Points Won
32% (23/72)32% (27/84)
Total Points Won
51% (80/156)49% (76/156)
Max Games In Row
31
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
28.1%
Lautaro Midon
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.
  • Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lautaro Midon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Lautaro Midon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.41)

    1.3
    (1.5)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 662. Midon is ranked ATP: 438.
    • Castagnola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Midon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Midon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Midon is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon
    04.08.2024 Max Alcala Gurri - Lautaro Midon Alcala Gurri M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Torres J. B. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Piraino G. (WC)Lopez Montagud C.0 : 2
    3Dellavedova M. (LL)Elias G.0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (4)Picchione A. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 0
    6Neumayer L.Pavlovic L. (Q)1 : 2
    7Basile P. (Q)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Blancaneaux G. (7)2 : 0
    9Mager G. (9)Gill F.0 : 2
    10Fonio G.Cretu C.0 : 2
    11Klizan M. (Alt)Juarez F. (Q)0 : 2
    12Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Tabur C. (3)2 : 0
    13Collarini A. (6)Dodig M.0 : 2
    14Cadenasso G. (Q)Giustino L.0 : 2
    15Ferrari G. (WC)Castagnola L. (Q)0 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Jianu F. C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    2Elias G.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (4)Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    4Basile P.Taberner C.0 : 2
    5Gill F.Cretu C.1 : 2
    6Juarez F.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    7Dodig M.Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Castagnola L.Rodriguez Taverna S.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Elias G.2 : 0
    2Pavlovic L.Taberner C.1 : 2
    3Cretu C.Juarez F. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Giustino L.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2Cretu C.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0