Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (425/496) | 75% (259/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (425/496) | 75% (259/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (113/158) | 53% (50/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Sandokhadze N. ⚽, Buaphan C. (A),
- 45+2', Sandokhadze N. ↓, Drincic M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ratree S. ↓, Phusirit W. ↑,
- 46', Junior ↓, Amornlerdsak A. ↑,
- 46', Cebara S. ↓, Joao Afonso ↑,
- 50', Phusirit W. 🟨,
- 56', Ito R. ↓, Sarakham M. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Sontisawat S. ⚽, Junior S. (A),
- 71', Buaphan C. 🟨,
- 71', Panya E. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
- 72', Matheus Fornazari ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
- 80', Ott Ma. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
- 85', Notsuda G. ↓, Tongkiri C. ↑,
- 86', Filipovic V. ↓, Kullapha K. ↑,
- 90+5', Yooyen S. ↓, Phonsan S. ↑,
- 90+6', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Tamma C. ↑,
- 90+7', Romphopak S. 🟨,
- 90+10', Joao Afonso 🟨,
- 90+11', Doi T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
53.9% | Draw
24.1% | Rayong FC
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pathum United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Pathum United - Rayong FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.58) |
3.82 ↓
(4.03) |
4.17 ↓
(4.69) |
8.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pathum United - Rayong FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Rayong FC (1.48) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rayong FC (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pathum United is the team to beat.
- We predict that Pathum United will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Rayong FC?
Pathum United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Pathum United?
Rayong FC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Rayong FC were as follows:
12.01.2025
Rayong FC
-
Pathum United
1:1
16.08.2024
Pathum United
-
Rayong FC
0:1
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Rayong FC
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Uthai Thani | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 22 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14:35 | -21 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
