Result
2:1
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 2.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (231/288) | 83% (344/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 2.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (231/288) | 83% (344/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 66% (42/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/98) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Mafouta L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 16', Hatchi J. 🟨,
- 24', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 33', Hatchi J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Lipinski R. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Jolibois C. 🟨,
- 68', Mbemba F. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 70', Nagera K. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 71', Mendes J. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 0, Balde I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Mafouta L. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
- 78', Ourega D. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
- 79', Louiserre D. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 79', Sidibe K. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 80', Ott G. 🟨,
- 86', Joly O. 🟨,
- 86', Sagna A. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Kielt S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Younoussa W. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 89', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
- 90', Saka M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rodez
40.7% | Draw
27.6% | Guingamp
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rodez - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.6) |
3.4
(3.4) |
2.96 ↑
(2.55) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rodez - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 0.
- Rodez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guingamp is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Rodez has had a series of away games.
- Rodez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Laurent L.
(Inactive)
Pelon A.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Leg Injury)
Tourraine M.
(Inactive)
Trouillet A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
Ott G.
(Inactive)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Guingamp?
Rodez has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Rodez?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Guingamp were as follows:
17.01.2025
Guingamp
-
Rodez
3:0
13.09.2024
Rodez
-
Guingamp
1:2
23.01.2024
Guingamp
-
Rodez
3:3
11.11.2023
Rodez
-
Guingamp
0:0
28.01.2023
Rodez
-
Guingamp
0:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | Red Star | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Reims | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Pau FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:30 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Annecy | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | Grenoble | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Rodez | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Clermont | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Amiens | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Nancy | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 | Laval | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 18 | Bastia | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8:25 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
