Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 18
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Moncarapachense
49% | Draw
29.9% | Comércio e Indústria
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comércio e Indústria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.88) |
3.01 ↓
(3.08) |
4.28 ↑
(3.98) |
10.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- Moncarapachense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Comércio Indústria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Moncarapachense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Comércio e Indústria?
Moncarapachense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comércio e Indústria won against Moncarapachense?
Comércio e Indústria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria were as follows:
28.09.2025
Comércio e Indústria
-
Moncarapachense
0:0
12.01.2025
Comércio e Indústria
-
Moncarapachense
0:1
18.08.2024
Moncarapachense
-
Comércio e Indústria
5:2
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Latest results of Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Louletano | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Serpa | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | GD Alcochetense | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 29 |
| 10 | Oriental | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
