Result
0:0
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (295/377) | 77% (258/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (295/377) | 77% (258/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 46% (36/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Cossier I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Pierret B. 🟨,
- 56', Bourabaa A. 🟨,
- 58', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
- 58', Gueye D. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 64', Bourabaa A. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
- 68', Trani G. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 68', Cabral K. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 75', Danger B. 🟨,
- 78', Cisse K. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
- 78', Sylla D. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
- 83', Colas E. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
- 83', Bretelle L. ↓, Hammoudi I. ↑,
- 83', Durand D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 89', Rossignol M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Star
40.3% | Draw
29.8% | Le Mans
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Star - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.64) |
3.13 ↑
(3.08) |
3.13 ↑
(2.67) |
6.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Red Star may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Haag G.
(Yellow Cards)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
Huard M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ikanga J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T.
(Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Lauray A.
(Yellow Cards)
Quarshie E.
(Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Le Mans?
Red Star has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Red Star?
Le Mans has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Le Mans were as follows:
08.11.2025
Le Mans
-
Red Star
0:0
23.02.2024
Red Star
-
Le Mans
4:1
15.09.2023
Le Mans
-
Red Star
1:2
04.08.2023
Le Mans
-
Red Star
1:1
10.02.2023
Red Star
-
Le Mans
0:0
Latest results of Red Star
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
