Hungary W vs Netherlands W, European Championship Water Polo Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
13:15 penalties
05/02/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Championship Women - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceERT 2
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Chances of winning


Hungary W
44%
Draw
15.6%
Netherlands W
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 15.6% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 16.6% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hungary W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Netherlands W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungary W than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands W than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Hungary W - Netherlands W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.04)
    5.82
    (5.82)
    2.26
    (2.3)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 19.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hungary won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hungary won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 195:203. (average 9.8:10.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hungary W - Netherlands W were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Netherlands W - Hungary W 5:4
    27.07.2024 Netherlands W - Hungary W 10:8
    12.02.2024 Hungary W - Netherlands W 13:12
    06.01.2024 Netherlands W - Hungary W 14:10
    20.04.2023 Netherlands W - Hungary W 11:12
    Latest results of Hungary W
    03.02.2026 Greece W - Hungary W 11:12
    01.02.2026 Hungary W - Israel W 22:6
    31.01.2026 Netherlands W - Hungary W 5:4
    29.01.2026 Hungary W - Portugal W 28:4
    27.01.2026 Hungary W - Romania W 28:3
    Latest results of Netherlands W
    03.02.2026 Netherlands W - Italy W 8:4
    01.02.2026 Netherlands W - Spain W 13:16
    31.01.2026 Netherlands W - Hungary W 5:4
    29.01.2026 Netherlands W - Israel W 23:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Greece WHungary W11 : 12
    2Netherlands WItaly W8 : 4

    Final
    1Hungary WNetherlands W13 : 15

    3rd place
    2Greece WItaly W15 : 8