Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 21
Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.78	1.18
Ball possession
67%	33%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
81% (372/458)	64% (141/222)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.78	1.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	1.90
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
5	8
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
26	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
15	12
Passes
81% (372/458)	64% (141/222)
Long passes
49% (33/67)	38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
68% (78/114)	51% (43/85)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.39
Throw ins
22	32
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
58% (15/26)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
64	53
Clearances
33	33
Interceptions
3	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.90	0.78
Goals prevented
-0.10	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Budimir A. ⚽, Herrando J. (A),
38', Munoz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Valentin O. ↓, Alemao ↑,
46', Martin C. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Ciss P. ⚽, Palazon I. (A),
66', Diaz P. 🟨,
67', Munoz I. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
72', Palazon I. ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
72', de Frutos J. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
79', Herrando J. 🟨,
81', Oroz A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
81', Budimir A. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
90', Garcia A. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Vertrouwd J. (Own goal),
90+1', Ciss P. 🟨,
90+4', Munoz V. ↓, Torro L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Osambela A. ⚽, Moncayola J. (A),

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
42.8%

Draw
30.6%

Osasuna
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)	3.6 ↓ (4)	4.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). Osasuna will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 47.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 63%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Osasuna (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Osasuna (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Osasuna (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Osasuna (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Rayo Vallecano could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Injury) Mendy N. (Red Card) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Osasuna: Becker S. (Stomach Disorder) Benito I. (Knee Injury) Catena A. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Balliu I. (Muscle Injury) Ratiu A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Osasuna?

Rayo Vallecano has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Rayo Vallecano?

Osasuna has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna were as follows:

14.09.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 2:0

19.01.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:1

16.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 3:1

20.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1

15.12.2023 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:0

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

18.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 2:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

06.01.2026 Granada - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺

02.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Osasuna

17.01.2026 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 3:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Girona - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	28	23	1	4	77:28	49	70
2	Real Madrid	28	21	3	4	60:24	36	66
3	Atl. Madrid	28	17	6	5	47:25	22	57
4	Villarreal	28	17	4	7	51:33	18	55
5	Betis	28	11	11	6	43:35	8	44
6	Celta Vigo	28	10	11	7	38:31	7	41
7	Real Sociedad	28	10	8	10	43:42	1	38
8	Espanyol	28	10	7	11	35:42	-7	37
9	Getafe	28	10	5	13	23:30	-7	35
10	Ath Bilbao	28	10	5	13	30:40	-10	35
11	Osasuna	28	9	7	12	33:35	-2	34
12	Girona	28	8	10	10	31:43	-12	34
13	Rayo Vallecano	28	7	11	10	28:34	-6	32
14	Valencia	28	8	8	12	30:42	-12	32
15	Sevilla	28	8	7	13	37:47	-10	31
16	Mallorca	28	7	7	14	33:45	-12	28
17	Alaves	28	7	7	14	26:38	-12	28
18	Elche	28	5	11	12	36:45	-9	26
19	Levante	28	5	8	15	30:46	-16	23
20	Oviedo	28	4	9	15	18:44	-26	21

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2