Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (146/214) | 87% (489/561) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (146/214) | 87% (489/561) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (55/79) | 77% (124/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Thordarson G. ⚽, Ouma T. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Alvarez F. ⚽, Krajewski M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 1, Kornvig E. ⚽,
- 54', Zyro M. 🟨,
- 58', Agnero Y. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
- 58', Ismaheel T. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 58', Thordarson G. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 62', Vukovic A. 🟨,
- 62', Alvarez F. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
- 62', Bergier S. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 70', Kornvig E. 🟨,
- 71', Bengtsson L. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 73', Kornvig E. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
- 77', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
- 80', Gumny R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 81', Krajewski M. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
- 86', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 87', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Widzew Łódź
39.9% | Draw
27.3% | Lech Poznań
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.69) |
3.43 ↑
(2.97) |
2.83 ↑
(2.43) |
6.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Lech will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Lech (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Lech (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 2.
- Widzew is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lech is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Widzew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Widzew has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Widzew: Czyz S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lech: Jagiello F.
(Injury)
Kozubal A.
(Yellow Cards)
Lisman K.
(Inactive)
Milic A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R.
(Surgery)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Lech Poznań?
Widzew Łódź has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Widzew Łódź?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań were as follows:
31.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Widzew Łódź
2:1
31.01.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Widzew Łódź
4:1
27.07.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Lech Poznań
2:1
19.05.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
26.11.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Widzew Łódź
1:3
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
