Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 82% (318/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 82% (318/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/99) | 63% (67/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Palma L. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
- 29', Kozubal A. 🟨,
- 37', Bengtsson L. 🟨,
- 42', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Pawlowski B. (Pen),
- 51', Mrozek B. 🟨,
- 59', Kozubal A. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 60', Ouma T. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 60', Moutinho J. ↓, Gurgul M. ↑,
- 60', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Fiabema B. ⚽,
- 66', Pawlowski B. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
- 66', Baena Perez A. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
- 76', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
- 81', Czyz S. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
- 86', Pereira J. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
53% | Draw
25.7% | Widzew Łódź
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Widzew Łódź could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.82) |
3.76 ↑
(3.65) |
4.6 ↑
(3.9) |
4.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Widzew will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 56% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 25%). Widzew (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2.
- Lech has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Widzew is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Widzew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lech is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Gumny R.
(Ankle Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Widzew: Bergier S.
(Red Card)
Kozlovsky S.
(Ankle Injury)
Therkildsen P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Milic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lech won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Widzew Łódź?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Lech Poznań?
Widzew Łódź has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź were as follows:
31.01.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Widzew Łódź
4:1
27.07.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Lech Poznań
2:1
19.05.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
26.11.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Widzew Łódź
1:3
19.03.2023
Widzew Łódź
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
