Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/04/2026 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Hits
77
Errors
00
2B - double
21
3B - triple
10
Home runs
10
Runs batted in
45
Left on base
65
Base on balls
23
Strikeouts
1610
Stolen bases
21
At bat
3333
Batting average
0.2120.212

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Phillies
61%
Arizona Diamondbacks
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.6)

    2.48
    (2.42)
    3.9%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Arizona will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arizona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Arizona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • Philadelphia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 96:88. (average 4.8:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 57:34. (average 5.7:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Arizona Diamondbacks - Philadelphia Phillies 9:2
    20.09.2025 Arizona Diamondbacks - Philadelphia Phillies 4:3
    19.09.2025 Arizona Diamondbacks - Philadelphia Phillies 2:8
    04.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks 9:11
    03.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks 7:2
    Latest results of Arizona Diamondbacks
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Yankees138557:340.615
    2Cleveland Guardians138546:430.615
    3Texas Rangers127544:390.583
    4Minnesota Twins137660:550.538
    5Los Angeles Angels147761:640.500
    6Baltimore Orioles126645:490.500
    7Tampa Bay Rays136760:720.462
    8Houston Astros136779:780.462
    9Athletics136751:590.462
    10Kansas City Royals146847:590.429
    11Toronto Blue Jays125741:630.417
    12Chicago White Sox145943:720.357
    13Detroit Tigers145956:570.357
    14Boston Red Sox124844:550.333
    15Seattle Mariners134940:420.308


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers129375:410.750
    2Milwaukee Brewers128470:460.667
    3Atlanta Braves138566:320.615
    4Pittsburgh Pirates138556:480.615
    5St.Louis Cardinals127559:620.583
    6Arizona Diamondbacks148657:630.571
    7Miami Marlins148667:560.571
    8Cincinnati Reds148641:580.571
    9San Diego Padres137653:510.538
    10New York Mets147756:530.500
    11Chicago Cubs136756:460.462
    12Philadelphia Phillies136746:620.462
    13Colorado Rockies136756:500.462
    14San Francisco Giants135841:570.385
    15Washington Nationals124871:780.333