Crucero del Norte vs Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sanchez M. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Vera J. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crucero del Norte
38.9%
Draw
29.5%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.5% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 28.8% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crucero del Norte's performance.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crucero del Norte that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.71)
    3.1
    (3.08)
    2.89
    (2.46)
    9.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crucero del Norte won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0