Rionegro Águilas vs Envigado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.81
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
79% (240/302)	72% (165/230)
Yellow Cards
4	7
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	0.15
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
11	8
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
17	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
79% (240/302)	72% (165/230)
Long passes
52% (28/54)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
74% (103/140)	53% (35/66)
Crosses
27% (8/30)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.41
Throw-ins
21	20
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
91% (10/11)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
37	30
Clearances
25	30
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.31	0.86
Goals prevented
0.31	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Holguin J. 🟨,
27', Hernandez D. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
41', Cuervo S. 🟨,
43', Salazar T. 🟨,
45', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
45+3', Quejada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Mena J. 🟨,
47', Puerta M. 🟨,
61', Puerta M. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
62', Aristizabal J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
68', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟨,
70', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
73', Lozano F. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
86', Lopez E. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', Montoya J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Obregon J. (Pen),
90+1', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
90+1', Garces J. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
90+2', Palacios D. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3f4atahk

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
59.1%

Draw
24.9%

Envigado
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.3%

18.7%

Rionegro Águilas - Envigado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	3.72 ↓ (3.86)	5.73 ↑ (4.8)	7.1% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Envigado?

Users Predictions: Rionegro Águilas will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rionegro Águilas will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
Rionegro Águilas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rionegro Águilas is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Envigado?

Rionegro Águilas has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Rionegro Águilas?

Envigado has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Envigado were as follows:

07.09.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 1:1

15.06.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 2:0

10.05.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 0:2

23.03.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Envigado 1:0

24.10.2024 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 3:0

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

24.10.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 1:5 ✺

18.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar 1:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 2:2 ✺

08.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Envigado

25.10.2025 Envigado - Boyacá Chicó 0:2 ✺

21.10.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Envigado 1:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Envigado 3:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Pereira 2:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )