Result
2:0
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 33', Gallo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gallo A. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 0, Gomez G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Fella G. 🟨,
- 63', Cionek T. ↓, Bolcano D. ↑,
- 63', Munari D. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
- 63', Visconti E. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
- 65', Gomez G. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
- 65', Sandri M. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
- 72', Piovanello E. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
- 74', Ubaldi L. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 77', Calvano S. 🟨,
- 79', Yabre M. ↓, Orlando F. ↑,
- 85', Groppelli F. ↓, Guerra W. ↑,
- 90+3', Novella M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crotone 54% | Draw 28.2% | Cavese 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Crotone - Cavese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↑ (1.6) |
3.23 ↓ (3.88) |
5.15 ↑ (4.87) |
9.5% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Crotone - Cavese?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Cavese (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crotone will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crotone will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Crotone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cavese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Crotone is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Crotone won against Cavese?
Crotone has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavese won against Crotone?
Cavese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crotone - Cavese were as follows:
25.10.2025
Cavese
-
Crotone
1:0
04.01.2025
Crotone
-
Cavese
1:1
02.09.2024
Cavese
-
Crotone
2:1
Latest results of Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 46 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 11 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | -2 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | -4 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | -9 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Relegation