Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (239/331) | 63% (163/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (239/331) | 63% (163/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 31% (27/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/127) | 49% (45/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Peredo G. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Da Silva D. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Quaglio F. ↓, Somoya M. ↑,
- 57', Chiatti M. 🟨,
- 59', Rafinha 🟨,
- 60', Mina K. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 60', Godoy J. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 60', Quiroga A. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 63', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
- 69', Arrascaita J. ↓, Moriceau T. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Moriceau T. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
- 74', Peredo G. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 74', Rafinha ↓, Barco C. ↑,
- 80', Anez C. 🟨,
- 82', Robles D. 🟨,
- 88', Anez C. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 88', Da Silva D. ↓, Chavez T. ↑,
- 88', Chiatti M. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
- 90', Somoya M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guabirá
41.7% | Draw
25.9% | The Strongest
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Guabirá - The Strongest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.25) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
2.85 ↑
(2.6) |
7.3%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Guabirá - The Strongest?
Users Predictions:
The Strongest will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
- Guabirá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The Strongest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:51. (average 1.1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against The Strongest?
Guabirá has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Guabirá?
The Strongest has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - The Strongest were as follows:
03.05.2025
The Strongest
-
Guabirá
5:1
20.10.2024
Guabirá
-
The Strongest
1:0
23.05.2024
The Strongest
-
Guabirá
3:2
07.11.2023
Guabirá
-
The Strongest
4:1
26.10.2023
The Strongest
-
Guabirá
1:0
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 60:22 | 38 | 49 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 53:34 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 50:23 | 27 | 40 |
| 4 | Blooming | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | SA Bulo Bulo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37:35 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 35:40 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 21:33 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 21 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16:47 | -31 | 8 |
| 16 | Aurora | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
