Result
1:3
18/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (219/294) | 88% (459/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (219/294) | 88% (459/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (37/78) | 73% (106/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 0% (0/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Ibarra R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, Molina N. ⚽,
- 54', Iriarte I. 🟨,
- 63', Zabala C. 🟨,
- 64', Medina J. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 64', Zabala C. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 65', Mera F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 71', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 71', Ibarra R. ↓,
- 77', Molina N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 78', Cortez G. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Mercado P. ⚽, Alcivar J. (A),
- 87', Ibarra R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Spinelli C. ⚽, Hoyos M. (A),
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
24.8% | Draw
26.6% | Independiente del Valle
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↓
(3.8) |
3.49 ↓
(3.55) |
1.93 ↑
(1.9) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Independiente del Valle?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Vinotinto?
Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
29.08.2024
Vinotinto
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
