Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 27
- Referee: Schelbli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/344) | 84% (352/420) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/344) | 84% (352/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/118) | 75% (81/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 61 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', Jacovic D. 🟨,
- 16', Hoxha F. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Bouchlarhem T. ⚽, Escorza T. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Correia O. ⚽, Bouchlarhem T. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Kaiba D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 3, Correia O. ⚽, Ricardo Alves (A),
- 64', Breedijk L. ↓, Aliu X. ↑,
- 64', Hajij M. ↓, Coulibaly P. ↑,
- 64', N'djoli J. ↓, Bytyqi E. ↑,
- 74', Rapp S. ↓, Saho U. ↑,
- 80', Hoxha F. ↓, Philippin R. ↑,
- 81', Escorza T. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 81', Itaitinga ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 83', Ato-Zandanga N. ↓, Schreiber L. ↑,
- 86', Correia O. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 88', Antonio S. 🟥,
- 90', Bouchlarhem T. ↓, Diallo M. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wil 1900 37.7% | Draw 29.4% | Étoile Carouge 32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Wil 1900 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↓ (2.48) |
3.15 ↑ (3) |
2.82 ↓ (3.01) |
8% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wil won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Wil: Diarra M.
(Injury)
Staubli T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B.
(Yellow Cards)
Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Walker M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Bua K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wil won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wil 1900 won against Étoile Carouge?
Wil 1900 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Wil 1900?
Étoile Carouge has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
05.12.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Wil 1900
0:0
08.08.2025
Wil 1900
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
13.04.2025
Wil 1900
-
Étoile Carouge
2:2
24.01.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Wil 1900
1:1
30.11.2024
Wil 1900
-
Étoile Carouge
2:1
Latest results of Wil 1900
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62:33 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:38 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Xamax | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | Etoile-Carouge | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 7 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League