Result
3:0
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 24
- Referee: Stojkovic U. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (321/404) | 68% (181/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (321/404) | 68% (181/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (72/103) | 57% (28/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+4', Milic S. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 0, Kostov V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Zdjelar S. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Arnautovic M. ⚽, Tiknizyan N. (A),
- 71', Vukotic M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Kostic A. ↓, Polter S. ↑,
- 76', Vukotic M. ↓, Lekic M. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 0, Katai A. ⚽, Kostov V. (A),
- 79', Owusu D. ↓, Zaric L. ↑,
- 79', Katai A. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
- 79', Arnautovic M. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
- 80', Krunic R. 🟨,
- 87', Elsnik T. ↓, Handel T. ↑,
- 87', Seol Young-Woo ↓, Tebo Uchenna F. ↑,
- 90', Simic N. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
- 90', Seck D. ↓, Kostic B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 66.7% | Draw 19.9% | Partizan 13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Partizan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.4 ↓ (1.42) |
4.62 ↑ (4.5) |
6.71 ↓ (6.98) |
8% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Partizan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 59% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Crvena Zvezda (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Crvena Zvezda (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Partizan (6.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Partizan (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 4.
- Crvena Zvezda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Partizan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Partizan?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Partizan has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan were as follows:
20.09.2025
Partizan
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
1:2
12.04.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
2:1
22.02.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
3:3
23.09.2024
Partizan
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
0:4
24.04.2024
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
2:0
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Latest results of Partizan
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )