Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup
Result
1:0
17/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
icelandIcelandViaplay
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
luxembourgLuxembourgRTL, RTL
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Three, BBC Two, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.63
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
69% (216/314)78% (383/490)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.25
Total shots
812
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
69% (216/314)78% (383/490)
Long passes
35% (26/75)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
51% (42/83)54% (50/92)
Crosses
20% (3/15)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.97
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
1117
Tackles
47% (9/19)45% (5/11)
Duels won
6548
Clearances
3529
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.251.10
Goals prevented
0.250.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', Moris A. 🟨,
  • 43', Huet D. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Donley J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bradley C. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
  • 53', Lyons B. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
  • 56', Korac S. 🟨,
  • 67', Donley J. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
  • 67', McDonnell J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
  • 67', Olesen M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
  • 67', Dardari A. ↓, Avdusinovic K. ↑,
  • 80', Thill O. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
  • 81', McConville R. 🟨,
  • 82', Lewis J. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
  • 85', Sinani D. 🟨,
  • 87', Martins M. ↓, Dzogovic E. ↑,
  • 90+1', Hazard C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', McNair P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', de Sousa T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Barreiro L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Northern Ireland
54.8%		Draw
28%		Luxembourg
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 17.8% 10.7%

Northern Ireland - Luxembourg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.78 ↑
(1.34)		 3.63 ↓
(5.4)		 5.98 ↓
(9)		 0.6%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland - Luxembourg?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Northern Ireland will win (votes: 50 - 80.6%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 6 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Northern Ireland: 70.8% – 90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Northern Ireland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Northern Ireland (1.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Luxembourg (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Luxembourg (4.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Luxembourg (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Luxembourg (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Luxembourg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Luxembourg (4.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (91.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (23.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2, 1st Half - Luxembourg (101.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1, 1st Half - Luxembourg (32.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Luxembourg (52.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Luxembourg (15.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (7.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75, 1st Half - Luxembourg (8.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25, 1st Half - Luxembourg (4.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Luxembourg (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Luxembourg (12.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Luxembourg (10.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Luxembourg (11.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Luxembourg (6.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Luxembourg (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 1st Half - Luxembourg (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northern Ireland will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 46 high ROI users predict this event. Northern Ireland (votes: 16 - 34.8%). Luxembourg (votes: 30 - 65.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 4.
    • In this match, Northern Ireland is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northern Ireland - Luxembourg were as follows:
    04.09.2025 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 1:3
    18.11.2024 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 2:2
    05.09.2024 Northern Ireland - Luxembourg 2:0
    Latest results of Northern Ireland
    14.11.2025 Slovakia - Northern Ireland 1:0 ✺
    13.10.2025 Northern Ireland - Germany 0:1 ✺
    10.10.2025 Northern Ireland - Slovakia 2:0 ✺
    07.09.2025 Germany - Northern Ireland 3:1 ✺
    04.09.2025 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Luxembourg
    14.11.2025 Luxembourg - Germany 0:2 ✺
    13.10.2025 Slovakia - Luxembourg 2:0 ✺
    10.10.2025 Germany - Luxembourg 4:0 ✺
    07.09.2025 Luxembourg - Slovakia 0:1 ✺
    04.09.2025 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 1:3 ✺
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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